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chore: emit structured counterfactual decision traces from the shadow meta-controller #6

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opened 2026-03-21 09:11:45 +01:00 by openclaw · 0 comments
openclaw commented 2026-03-21 09:11:45 +01:00
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Context
The shadow controller already logs useful hints, but its traces are still too thin for serious offline counterfactual analysis.

Why this matters
To know whether the meta-controller is actually becoming smarter, we need richer shadow evidence: what alternatives existed, why they were rejected, what uncertainty terms dominated, and what live path was ultimately chosen.

Current evidence

  • /home/openclaw/.openclaw/workspace/logs/meta-controller-shadow.jsonl
  • /home/openclaw/.openclaw/workspace/lib/meta_controller.py

Deliverables

  • Log candidate actions, candidate plans, uncertainty feature contributions, plan priors, family priors, and final counterfactual rank order.
  • Add stable trace IDs linking shadow rows to replay trajectories and sacred-eval runs.
  • Make traces compact but machine-joinable.

Definition of done
We can run offline comparisons of live-vs-shadow choices without custom log archaeology.

Context The shadow controller already logs useful hints, but its traces are still too thin for serious offline counterfactual analysis. Why this matters To know whether the meta-controller is actually becoming smarter, we need richer shadow evidence: what alternatives existed, why they were rejected, what uncertainty terms dominated, and what live path was ultimately chosen. Current evidence - `/home/openclaw/.openclaw/workspace/logs/meta-controller-shadow.jsonl` - `/home/openclaw/.openclaw/workspace/lib/meta_controller.py` Deliverables - Log candidate actions, candidate plans, uncertainty feature contributions, plan priors, family priors, and final counterfactual rank order. - Add stable trace IDs linking shadow rows to replay trajectories and sacred-eval runs. - Make traces compact but machine-joinable. Definition of done We can run offline comparisons of live-vs-shadow choices without custom log archaeology.
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Reference: openclaw/openclaw-intelligence-core-public#6
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